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Premier League · Matchday 30Saturday 20 March · 15:00 · Craven Cottage
Fulham15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Liverpool5th place
FUL 31%X 28%LIV 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 93 rating points.
  • If Fulham score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.548%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Liverpool win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.18X28%3.56240%2.47
Double chance
1X60%1.68X269%1.461272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.93BTTS yes54%1.87BTTS no46%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fulham · Columns: Liverpool1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →
FulhamDLWWD

Head to head

Liverpool – Fulham12 September 20260-0
Liverpool – Fulham11 April 20262-0
Fulham – Liverpool4 January 20262-2
Fulham – Liverpool6 April 20253-2
Liverpool – Fulham14 December 20242-2
Fulham – Liverpool21 April 20241-3