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Serie A · Matchday 14Sunday 6 December · 17:30 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Cagliari12th place
FIO 45%X 28%CAG 27%

Prediction

  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Fiorentina win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.24X28%3.55227%3.68
Double chance
1X73%1.37X255%1.811272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.16Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fiorentina · Columns: Cagliari1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

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Head to head

Fiorentina – Cagliari24 January 20261-2
Cagliari – Fiorentina24 August 20251-1
Cagliari – Fiorentina23 April 20251-2
Fiorentina – Cagliari8 December 20241-0
Cagliari – Fiorentina23 May 20242-3
Fiorentina – Cagliari2 October 20233-0