TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 14Sunday 6 December · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Sassuolo15th place
VEN 32%X 27%SAS 41%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sassuolo lead by 110 rating points.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.550%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Sassuolo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
132%3.10X27%3.74241%2.44
Double chance
1X59%1.70X268%1.481273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Sassuolo1-1 probability 13.2%
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Sassuolo6 March 20221-4
Sassuolo – Venezia23 October 20213-1