TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 14Sunday 6 December · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Udinese19th place
JUV 70%X 20%UDI 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 164 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Udinese -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Juventus 1.4 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.6
Over 2.549%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
170%1.43X20%5.08210%9.74
Double chance
1X90%1.11X230%3.341280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes41%2.45BTTS no59%1.69

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Udinese2-0 probability 14.5%
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Udinese – Juventus14 March 20260-1
Juventus – Udinese29 October 20253-1
Juventus – Udinese18 May 20252-0
Udinese – Juventus2 November 20240-2
Juventus – Udinese12 February 20240-1
Udinese – Juventus20 August 20230-3