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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 14Sunday 6 December · 17:30 · U-Power Stadium
Monza16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Como4th place
MON 15%X 20%COM 65%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 308 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Como 2.6 points per game, Monza 0.6.
  • Como take 2.2 points per game away.
  • If Monza score first, they win 39% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 84% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.3
Over 2.564%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
115%6.72X20%5.02265%1.53
Double chance
1X35%2.87X285%1.171280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.76BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monza · Columns: Como1-2 probability 9.8%

Form

Compare →
MonzaLWLLL
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Monza – Como5 April 20251-3
Como – Monza30 November 20241-1