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Serie A · Matchday 14Sunday 6 December · 17:30 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Inter2nd place
FRO 12%X 17%INT 71%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 199 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Frosinone -0.4.
  • Inter take 1.9 points per game away.
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 32% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 86% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.9
Over 2.578%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
112%8.30X17%5.89271%1.41
Double chance
1X29%3.44X288%1.141283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.578%1.29Under 2.522%4.46BTTS yes67%1.50BTTS no33%3.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Inter1-2 probability 8.4%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Frosinone – Inter10 May 20240-5
Inter – Frosinone12 November 20232-0