TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 14Sunday 6 December · 17:30 · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Torino10th place
GEN 40%X 29%TOR 30%

Prediction

  • If Genoa score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Genoa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.49X29%3.39230%3.29
Double chance
1X70%1.44X260%1.671271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.543%2.35Under 2.557%1.74BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Genoa · Columns: Torino1-1 probability 13.9%
GenoaWLWWW
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Genoa – Torino22 February 20263-0
Torino – Genoa26 October 20252-1
Torino – Genoa8 February 20251-1
Genoa – Torino7 December 20240-0
Genoa – Torino13 January 20240-0
Torino – Genoa3 September 20231-0