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Serie A · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 17:30 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Sassuolo15th place
FIO 44%X 27%SAS 28%

Prediction

  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.555%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Fiorentina win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X27%3.66228%3.51
Double chance
1X72%1.40X256%1.791273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fiorentina · Columns: Sassuolo1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

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Head to head

Fiorentina – Sassuolo26 April 20260-0
Sassuolo – Fiorentina6 December 20253-1
Fiorentina – Sassuolo28 April 20245-1
Sassuolo – Fiorentina6 January 20241-0
Sassuolo – Fiorentina2 June 20231-3
Fiorentina – Sassuolo7 January 20232-1