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Serie A · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Roma3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Udinese19th place
ROM 74%X 17%UDI 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 272 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Roma 2.2 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Roma 0.9, Udinese -1.1.
  • If Roma score first, they win 90% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 31% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.7
Over 2.559%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
174%1.35X17%5.7429%11.55
Double chance
1X91%1.09X226%3.831283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.559%1.69Under 2.541%2.45BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Roma · Columns: Udinese2-0 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
RomaDWDWW
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Udinese – Roma31 October 20262-5
Udinese – Roma2 February 20261-0
Roma – Udinese9 November 20252-0
Udinese – Roma26 January 20251-2
Roma – Udinese22 September 20243-0
Udinese – Roma25 April 20241-2