TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 17:30 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Torino10th place
LEC 33%X 29%TOR 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Torino 1.8 points per game, Lecce 0.6.
  • Torino lead by 68 rating points.
  • If Lecce score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Torino win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.03X29%3.48238%2.61
Double chance
1X62%1.62X267%1.491271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.544%2.28Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Torino1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Torino – Lecce1 February 20261-0
Lecce – Torino30 November 20252-1
Lecce – Torino18 May 20251-0
Torino – Lecce15 September 20240-0
Torino – Lecce16 February 20242-0
Lecce – Torino28 October 20230-1