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Serie A · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Cagliari12th place
JUV 67%X 21%CAG 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 151 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Cagliari -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Juventus 1.4 points per game, Cagliari 0.2.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.6
Over 2.546%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X21%4.68212%8.61
Double chance
1X88%1.13X233%3.031279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes40%2.48BTTS no60%1.67

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Cagliari1-0 probability 14.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Cagliari – Juventus11 October 20261-1
Cagliari – Juventus17 January 20261-0
Juventus – Cagliari29 November 20252-1
Cagliari – Juventus23 February 20250-1
Juventus – Cagliari6 October 20241-1
Cagliari – Juventus19 April 20242-2