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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 17:30 · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Parma18th place
GEN 47%X 30%PAR 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Genoa 2.4 points per game, Parma 0.8.
  • Genoa lead by 66 rating points.
  • If Genoa score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Parma score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.3 – 0.8
Over 2.535%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.13X30%3.35223%4.32
Double chance
1X77%1.30X253%1.891270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.535%2.87Under 2.565%1.54BTTS yes41%2.43BTTS no59%1.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Genoa · Columns: Parma1-0 probability 14.9%

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Parma – Genoa20 September 20262-1
Parma – Genoa18 January 20260-0
Genoa – Parma19 October 20250-0
Genoa – Parma12 January 20251-0
Parma – Genoa4 November 20240-1