TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 21Sunday 24 January · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Venezia20th place
INT 85%X 11%VEN 4%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 387 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Venezia -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • If Inter score first, they win 95% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 19% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.9 – 0.5
Over 2.567%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
185%1.18X11%9.1424%25.19
Double chance
1X96%1.04X215%6.711289%1.12
Goals
Over 2.567%1.49Under 2.533%3.05BTTS yes40%2.53BTTS no60%1.65

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Venezia2-0 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Inter28 October 20260-2
Venezia – Inter12 January 20250-1
Inter – Venezia3 November 20241-0
Inter – Venezia22 January 20222-1
Venezia – Inter27 November 20210-2