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Serie A · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 17:30 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Cagliari12th place
FRO 46%X 26%CAG 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Frosinone 2.0 points per game, Cagliari 0.2.
  • Frosinone lead by 83 rating points.
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.3
Over 2.560%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Frosinone win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.18X26%3.81228%3.59
Double chance
1X72%1.39X254%1.851274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.51BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.64

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Cagliari1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

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Head to head

Frosinone – Cagliari21 January 20243-1
Cagliari – Frosinone29 October 20234-3