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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Milan5th place
VEN 16%X 21%MIL 63%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Milan lead by 282 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Milan 2.0 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Milan 0.5, Venezia -0.6.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 43% of the time
  • If Milan score first, they win 84% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals0.8 – 1.9
Over 2.552%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.30X21%4.66263%1.60
Double chance
1X37%2.68X284%1.191279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Milan0-2 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL
MilanDWWLW

Head to head

Milan – Venezia28 August 20262-0
Venezia – Milan27 April 20250-2
Milan – Venezia14 September 20244-0
Venezia – Milan9 January 20220-3
Milan – Venezia22 September 20212-0