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Serie A · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 17:30 · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Juventus7th place
PAR 16%X 24%JUV 60%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 183 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Parma -0.7.
  • Juventus take 1.8 points per game away.
  • If Parma score first, they win 48% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 84% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals0.7 – 1.6
Over 2.541%
Both teams score41%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.27X24%4.16260%1.67
Double chance
1X40%2.50X284%1.191276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.541%2.42Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes41%2.43BTTS no59%1.70

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Parma · Columns: Juventus0-1 probability 15.1%

Form

Compare →
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Juventus – Parma29 August 20262-0
Parma – Juventus1 February 20261-4
Juventus – Parma24 August 20252-0
Parma – Juventus23 April 20251-0
Juventus – Parma30 October 20242-2