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Serie A · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 17:30 · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Bologna9th place
GEN 30%X 29%BOL 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bologna lead by 71 rating points.
  • Bologna take 2.1 points per game away.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bologna 0.1, Genoa -0.4.
  • If Genoa score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Bologna score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.3
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Bologna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.29X29%3.43240%2.47
Double chance
1X60%1.68X270%1.441271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.543%2.35Under 2.557%1.74BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Genoa · Columns: Bologna1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW
BolognaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Bologna25 January 20263-2
Bologna – Genoa20 September 20252-1
Bologna – Genoa24 May 20251-3
Genoa – Bologna19 October 20242-2
Genoa – Bologna24 May 20242-0
Bologna – Genoa5 January 20241-1