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Serie A · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Roma3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Como4th place
ROM 43%X 28%COM 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Roma score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Roma win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.32X28%3.60229%3.44
Double chance
1X71%1.41X257%1.761272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Roma · Columns: Como1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
RomaDWDWW
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Como – Roma11 October 20260-0
Como – Roma15 March 20262-1
Roma – Como15 December 20251-0
Roma – Como2 March 20252-1
Como – Roma15 December 20242-0