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Serie A · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Napoli8th place
TOR 23%X 26%NAP 51%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Napoli lead by 124 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Napoli 0.5, Torino -0.3.
  • If Torino score first, they win 53% of the time
  • If Napoli score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.6
Over 2.550%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Napoli win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
123%4.28X26%3.86251%1.97
Double chance
1X49%2.03X277%1.311274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.550%2.00Under 2.550%2.00BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Napoli1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →
TorinoWWWLL
NapoliWLDWL

Head to head

Napoli – Torino6 March 20262-1
Torino – Napoli18 October 20251-0
Napoli – Torino27 April 20252-0
Torino – Napoli1 December 20240-1
Napoli – Torino8 March 20241-1
Torino – Napoli7 January 20243-0