TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 37Sunday 23 May · 17:30 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Sassuolo15th place
UDI 39%X 27%SAS 34%

Prediction

  • If Udinese score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Udinese win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.57X27%3.64234%2.97
Double chance
1X66%1.51X261%1.641273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes58%1.72BTTS no42%2.39

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Sassuolo1-1 probability 12.6%
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Udinese – Sassuolo15 February 20261-2
Sassuolo – Udinese28 September 20253-1
Sassuolo – Udinese1 April 20241-1
Udinese – Sassuolo17 December 20232-2
Udinese – Sassuolo12 February 20232-2
Sassuolo – Udinese11 September 20221-3