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Serie A · Matchday 33Sunday 25 April · 17:30 · Stadio Benito Stirpe
Frosinone6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Roma3rd place
FRO 18%X 21%ROM 60%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 176 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Roma 0.9, Frosinone -0.4.
  • Roma take 2.0 points per game away.
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 43% of the time
  • If Roma score first, they win 80% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.3
Over 2.568%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
118%5.49X21%4.66260%1.66
Double chance
1X40%2.52X282%1.221279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.568%1.48Under 2.532%3.08BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.74

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Frosinone · Columns: Roma1-2 probability 9.6%

Form

Compare →
RomaDWDWW

Head to head

Frosinone – Roma18 February 20240-3
Roma – Frosinone1 October 20232-0