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Serie A · Matchday 33Sunday 25 April · 17:30 · Allianz Stadium Turin
Juventus7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Fiorentina17th place
JUV 63%X 23%FIO 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Juventus lead by 138 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Juventus 1.4 points per game, Fiorentina 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Juventus 0.8, Fiorentina -0.1.
  • If Juventus score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 43% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.7
Over 2.548%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.58X23%4.34214%7.28
Double chance
1X86%1.16X237%2.721277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes45%2.25BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Juventus · Columns: Fiorentina1-0 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Juventus – Fiorentina17 May 20260-2
Fiorentina – Juventus22 November 20251-1
Fiorentina – Juventus16 March 20253-0
Juventus – Fiorentina29 December 20242-2
Juventus – Fiorentina7 April 20241-0
Fiorentina – Juventus5 November 20230-1