TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 33Sunday 25 April · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Lazio1st place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Como4th place
LAZ 35%X 28%COM 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como take 2.2 points per game away.
  • If Lazio score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.84X28%3.52236%2.75
Double chance
1X64%1.57X265%1.541272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes51%1.94BTTS no49%2.06

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lazio · Columns: Como1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →
LazioWWWWW
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Lazio – Como19 January 20260-3
Como – Lazio24 August 20252-0
Lazio – Como10 January 20251-1
Como – Lazio31 October 20241-5