TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 33Sunday 25 April · 17:30 · Stadio Ennio Tardini
Parma18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Atalanta13th place
PAR 26%X 27%ATA 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Atalanta lead by 141 rating points.
  • If Parma score first, they win 57% of the time
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.5
Over 2.546%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Atalanta win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.86X27%3.73247%2.12
Double chance
1X53%1.90X274%1.351273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.546%2.20Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Parma · Columns: Atalanta1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Atalanta – Parma25 January 20264-0
Parma – Atalanta30 August 20251-1
Atalanta – Parma25 May 20252-3
Parma – Atalanta23 November 20241-3