TR
Picks
Serie A · Matchday 33Sunday 25 April · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
Torino10th place
VEN 29%X 27%TOR 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Torino lead by 140 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Torino 1.8 points per game, Venezia 0.6.
  • If Venezia score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Torino score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Torino win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.43X27%3.66244%2.30
Double chance
1X56%1.77X271%1.411273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Torino1-1 probability 13.5%
VeneziaLWLLL
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Torino – Venezia2 May 20251-1
Venezia – Torino30 August 20240-1
Torino – Venezia12 February 20221-2
Venezia – Torino27 September 20211-1