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Serie A · Matchday 33Sunday 25 April · 17:30 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Udinese19th place
NAP 66%X 21%UDI 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Napoli lead by 172 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Napoli 0.5, Udinese -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Napoli 1.4 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • If Napoli score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Udinese score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.551%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
166%1.51X21%4.68212%8.05
Double chance
1X88%1.14X234%2.961279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.551%1.94Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes46%2.18BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Napoli · Columns: Udinese2-0 probability 12.9%

Form

Compare →
NapoliWLDWL
UdineseLLLDL

Head to head

Napoli – Udinese24 May 20261-0
Udinese – Napoli14 December 20251-0
Napoli – Udinese9 February 20251-1
Udinese – Napoli14 December 20241-3
Udinese – Napoli6 May 20241-1
Napoli – Udinese27 September 20234-1