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Serie A · Matchday 33Sunday 25 April · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Bologna9th place
INT 67%X 21%BOL 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 177 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Bologna 0.1.
  • Inter take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Inter score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Bologna score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.9
Over 2.561%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X21%4.84212%8.13
Double chance
1X88%1.14X233%3.031279%1.26
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.54BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Bologna2-0 probability 11.0%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL
BolognaWLWWW

Head to head

Bologna – Inter17 October 20261-3
Bologna – Inter23 May 20263-3
Inter – Bologna4 January 20263-1
Bologna – Inter20 April 20251-0
Inter – Bologna15 January 20252-2
Bologna – Inter9 March 20240-1