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Serie A · Matchday 33Sunday 25 April · 17:30 · Stadio Luigi Ferraris
Genoa11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Sassuolo15th place
GEN 43%X 28%SAS 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Genoa 2.4 points per game, Sassuolo 0.2.
  • If Genoa score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Genoa win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.35X28%3.52229%3.44
Double chance
1X71%1.41X257%1.741272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.548%2.09Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Genoa · Columns: Sassuolo1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Sassuolo12 April 20262-1
Sassuolo – Genoa3 November 20251-2
Genoa – Sassuolo12 May 20242-1
Sassuolo – Genoa22 December 20231-2
Sassuolo – Genoa6 January 20221-1
Genoa – Sassuolo17 October 20212-2