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Premier League · Matchday 6Sunday 11 October · 14:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City10th place
Full time2-2Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✕ Missed
Everton14th place
HUL 30%X 30%EVE 40%

What does the market say?

Hull CityDrawEvertonRinvalo30%30%40%
Market26%28%46%

✓ Agree · both back Everton

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
  • If Hull City score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Everton score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.2
Over 2.537%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Everton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.33X30%3.35240%2.49
Double chance
1X60%1.67X270%1.431270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.537%2.73Under 2.563%1.58BTTS yes44%2.27BTTS no56%1.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Everton2-2 probability 3.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Hull City – Everton11 October 20262-2