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Premier League · Matchday 6Saturday 10 October · 15:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town14th place
Full time2-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✕ Missed
Fulham15th place
IPS 29%X 27%FUL 44%

What does the market say?

Ipswich TownDrawFulhamRinvalo29%27%44%
Market34%27%39%

✓ Agree · both back Fulham

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Fulham lead by 119 rating points.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Fulham score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.554%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Fulham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.42X27%3.71244%2.28
Double chance
1X56%1.78X271%1.411273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.18BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Fulham2-1 probability 7.3% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Ipswich Town – Fulham10 October 20262-1
Fulham – Ipswich Town5 January 20252-2
Ipswich Town – Fulham31 August 20241-1