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Premier League · Matchday 6Saturday 10 October · 17:30 · Old Trafford
Manchester United17th place
Full time1-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-0✕ Missed
Tottenham9th place
MUN 63%X 23%TOT 15%

What does the market say?

Manchester UnitedDrawTottenhamRinvalo63%23%15%
Market56%23%22%

✓ Agree · both back Manchester United

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Manchester United lead by 154 rating points.
  • Manchester United take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Manchester United 0.6, Tottenham -0.2.
  • If Manchester United score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 41% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.558%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.59X23%4.41215%6.87
Double chance
1X85%1.17X237%2.691277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.558%1.73Under 2.542%2.36BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Tottenham1-1 probability 10.2% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Manchester United – Tottenham10 October 20261-1
Manchester United – Tottenham7 February 20262-0
Tottenham – Manchester United8 November 20252-2
Tottenham – Manchester United16 February 20251-0
Manchester United – Tottenham29 September 20240-3
Manchester United – Tottenham14 January 20242-2