TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 16Sunday 20 December · 17:30 · Stadio Via del mare
Lecce14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Inter2nd place
LEC 9%X 15%INT 76%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 314 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Lecce -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Lecce 0.6.
  • If Lecce score first, they win 29% of the time
  • If Inter score first, they win 90% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals0.7 – 2.5
Over 2.563%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
19%11.07X15%6.60276%1.32
Double chance
1X24%4.14X291%1.101285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.73BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lecce · Columns: Inter0-2 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →
LecceLWLLL
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Lecce – Inter21 February 20260-2
Inter – Lecce14 January 20261-0
Lecce – Inter26 January 20250-4
Inter – Lecce24 August 20242-0
Lecce – Inter25 February 20240-4
Inter – Lecce23 December 20232-0