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Serie A · Matchday 16Sunday 20 December · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Milan5th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Como4th place
MIL 34%X 28%COM 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como take 2.2 points per game away.
  • If Milan score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Como score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.97X28%3.54238%2.62
Double chance
1X62%1.62X266%1.511272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.15Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Milan · Columns: Como1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →
MilanDWWLW
ComoDWWWW

Head to head

Milan – Como18 February 20261-1
Como – Milan15 January 20261-3
Milan – Como15 March 20252-1
Como – Milan14 January 20251-2