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Serie A · Matchday 16Sunday 20 December · 17:30 · Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore
Sassuolo15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Parma18th place
SAS 48%X 28%PAR 24%

Prediction

  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Parma score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.543%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sassuolo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.08X28%3.57224%4.19
Double chance
1X76%1.31X252%1.931272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.543%2.30Under 2.557%1.77BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sassuolo · Columns: Parma1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
ParmaWLLLD

Head to head

Parma – Sassuolo24 May 20261-0
Sassuolo – Parma3 January 20261-1