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Serie A · Matchday 16Sunday 20 December · 17:30 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Venezia20th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Monza16th place
VEN 37%X 27%MON 36%

Prediction

  • If Venezia score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Monza score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.4
Over 2.552%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Venezia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.72X27%3.69236%2.77
Double chance
1X64%1.57X263%1.581273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.552%1.93Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes57%1.77BTTS no43%2.30

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Venezia · Columns: Monza1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
VeneziaLWLLL
MonzaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Monza12 April 20251-0
Monza – Venezia27 October 20242-2