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Serie A · Matchday 16Sunday 20 December · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico
Roma3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Juventus7th place
ROM 42%X 29%JUV 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Roma lead by 108 rating points.
  • Roma take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • Last 5 games: Roma 2.2 points per game, Juventus 1.4.
  • If Roma score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Roma win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.38X29%3.50229%3.40
Double chance
1X71%1.42X258%1.731271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.20Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Roma · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →
RomaDWDWW

Head to head

Roma – Juventus1 March 20263-3
Juventus – Roma20 December 20252-1
Roma – Juventus6 April 20251-1
Juventus – Roma1 September 20240-0
Roma – Juventus5 May 20241-1
Juventus – Roma30 December 20231-0