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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Serie A · Matchday 16Sunday 20 December · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Cagliari12th place
TOR 44%X 28%CAG 28%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Torino 1.8 points per game, Cagliari 0.2.
  • If Torino score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Cagliari score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Torino win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.30X28%3.52228%3.57
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.771272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.21Under 2.555%1.83BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Cagliari1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Cagliari – Torino17 May 20262-1
Torino – Cagliari27 December 20251-2
Torino – Cagliari24 January 20252-0
Cagliari – Torino20 October 20243-2
Cagliari – Torino26 January 20241-2
Torino – Cagliari21 August 20230-0