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Championship · Matchday 15Saturday 7 November · 15:00 · The Hawthorns
West Bromwich Albion5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Millwall12th place
WBA 41%X 29%MIL 30%

What's at stake

West Bromwich AlbionAutomatic promotion7%5%3%

What does the market say?

West Bromwich AlbionDrawMillwallRinvalo41%29%30%
Market46%26%27%

✓ Agree · both back West Bromwich Albion

Prediction

Key factors
  • The market also backs the home side (46%).
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Millwall score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.46X29%3.46230%3.29
Double chance
1X70%1.44X259%1.691271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.543%2.35Market 53%Under 2.557%1.74Market 47%BTTS yes49%2.04Market 56%BTTS no51%1.96Market 44%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Bromwich Albion · Columns: Millwall1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

West Bromwich Albion – Millwall10 April 20260-0
Millwall – West Bromwich Albion4 October 20253-0
Millwall – West Bromwich Albion15 February 20251-1
West Bromwich Albion – Millwall5 October 20240-0
Millwall – West Bromwich Albion29 March 20241-1
West Bromwich Albion – Millwall23 September 20230-0