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Championship · Matchday 23Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Norwich City15th place
WHU 52%X 25%NOR 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Norwich City -0.1.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.5
Over 2.574%
Both teams score71%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.91X25%4.08223%4.31
Double chance
1X77%1.30X248%2.101275%1.32
Goals
Over 2.574%1.36Under 2.526%3.81BTTS yes71%1.40BTTS no29%3.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Norwich City2-1 probability 8.7%

Form

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Head to head

Norwich City – West Ham8 May 20220-4
West Ham – Norwich City12 January 20222-0