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Championship · Matchday 46Saturday 1 May · 12:30 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Portsmouth11th place
WHU 52%X 26%POR 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Portsmouth 0.1.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.3
Over 2.563%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a West Ham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.93X26%3.92223%4.38
Double chance
1X77%1.30X248%2.071275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.72BTTS yes63%1.59BTTS no37%2.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

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