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Championship · Matchday 21Saturday 12 December · 15:00 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Millwall12th place
WOL 44%X 28%MIL 28%

Prediction

  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Millwall score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.550%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.27X28%3.59228%3.55
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.791272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Millwall1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

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