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Championship · Matchday 23Saturday 26 December · 15:00 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Swansea City3rd place
WOL 47%X 27%SWA 26%

Prediction

  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Wolverhampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.13X27%3.68226%3.85
Double chance
1X74%1.35X253%1.881273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Swansea City1-1 probability 12.9%

Form

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