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Championship · Matchday 46Saturday 1 May · 12:30 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Bristol City14th place
WRE 42%X 29%BRC 30%

Prediction

  • If Wrexham score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.40X29%3.50230%3.36
Double chance
1X70%1.42X258%1.711271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: Bristol City1-1 probability 13.4%

Form

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Head to head

Bristol City – Wrexham17 February 20262-2
Wrexham – Bristol City26 November 20252-0