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Championship · Matchday 30Saturday 6 February · 15:00 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Lincoln City16th place
WRE 51%X 27%LIN 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Wrexham lead by 66 rating points.
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.554%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.96X27%3.77222%4.46
Double chance
1X78%1.29X249%2.041274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.19BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: Lincoln City1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

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