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Championship · Matchday 18Saturday 28 November · 15:00 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Portsmouth11th place
WRE 40%X 29%POR 31%

Prediction

  • If Wrexham score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.51X29%3.40231%3.26
Double chance
1X69%1.44X260%1.661271%1.42
Goals
Over 2.547%2.14Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

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Head to head

Wrexham – Portsmouth24 February 20262-1
Portsmouth – Wrexham5 November 20250-0